Updated Nov. We’ll be updating our forecasts every time new data is available, every day through Nov. Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20, times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the expected margins of victory. The closer the dot is to the center line, the tighter the race. And the wider the bar, the less certain the model is about the outcome.
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COVID-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios
Models developed using the data provided in the planning scenario tables can help evaluate the potential effects of different community mitigation strategies e. The planning scenarios may also be useful to hospital administrators in assessing resource needs and can be used in conjunction with the COVIDSurge Tool. Each scenario is based on a set of numerical values for biological and epidemiological characteristics of COVID
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The next Dutch general election to elect the members of the House of Representatives is scheduled for 17 March , but may be held at an earlier date if a snap election is called. The Third Rutte cabinet was inaugurated after the longest coalition formation in Dutch history, with days between the election and swearing in of the cabinet.
The coalition held a narrow majority in both legislative chambers at the time of the cabinet’s inauguration, with 76 of seats in the House of Representatives and 38 of 75 seats in the Senate. Following the Senate election , it has a minority of 32 seats in the upper chamber. The PvdA suffered heavy losses in the election, being reduced from 38 to 9 seats, while the VVD lost 8 seats, falling from 41 to 33 but remaining the largest party.
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